A primary 0-Zero in 4 years at dwelling for Arsenal? Our betting knowledgeable ‘Jones Is aware of’ makes his Premier League predictions to seek out some angles to contemplate for the weekend motion.
Southampton vs Everton, Sunday, – 2pm, stay on Tremendous Sunday
This must be a fantastic option to begin your Sunday of stay sport.
Each groups are enjoying with baggage of confidence in ahead areas and seemingly have loads of religion in what their respective managers are attempting to realize.
Since beating Watford on the finish of November, solely Liverpool, Man Metropolis and Man Utd have gained extra factors than the Saints whereas Everton have gained 43 factors from Carlo Ancelotti’s 25 Premier League video games in cost – once more solely Liverpool, Metropolis and United have taken extra.
So, this might be outlined as a ‘top-six’ conflict primarily based on present kind.
Richarlison, James Rodriguez and Seamus Coleman have all been dominated out for Everton although which does barely tip the scales in favour of Saints however as soon as once more then it is the value of the draw that makes most appeal at 12/5.
One space Everton will discover pleasure shall be from set-pieces. No group has scored extra targets than them from corners and free-kicks this season (6) and no group has created extra probabilities from such conditions (12).
Michael Keane and Yerry Mina are large threats, particularly Mina, who is among the finest in world soccer at attacking a excessive ball. The 18/1 for him to attain with a header is an insult to his prowess and is firmly on my betting radar this weekend.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-1 (5/1 with Sky Bet)
ALSO LOOK OUT FOR: Yerry Mina to score a header at 18/1
Wolves vs Newcastle, Sunday – 4.30pm, stay on Tremendous Sunday
When Newcastle took an early lead towards Manchester United final weekend, they shot as much as fourth in Premier League desk.
But, on the full-time whistle after a 4-1 defeat, #BruceOut was trending throughout social media.
It is a narrative that shall be shot down by ‘soccer folks’ inside soccer circles however there’s a purpose the Toon are fourth favourites to get relegated this season regardless of a wholesome return of seven factors. The efficiency metrics present that Newcastle have confronted probably the most photographs on track (38) and photographs per recreation (17.2) within the Premier League this season.
Can Steve Bruce defy the information as soon as once more? Solely time will inform.
However for this weekend, Wolves look a fairly stable proposition to take most factors at round 4/5 with Sky Bet. No group has gained extra Premier League video games since February 23 than Wolves, who’re the kings of getting the job accomplished of their pragmatic fashion. An edgy 1-Zero win with a winner coming within the second half is smart.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-0 (5/1 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Leicester, Sunday – 7.15pm, stay on Sky Sports activities Field Workplace
This fixture simply screams low scoring.
Mikel Arteta is with out query a shrewd cookie and is getting the perfect out of the gamers at his disposal. However I am but to completely purchase into the long-term prospects of this managed fashion of soccer that does not lead to many large probabilities being created. For instance, solely Crystal Palace and West Brom have had fewer photographs than Arsenal this season. And as Adam Bate wrote earlier this season concerning shot knowledge: “The truth is that shot quantity issues. It is a wonderful predictor of future efficiency, much more so than conversion charges.”
A creating angle to remember too is the drop off within the efficiency ranges of Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang in entrance of purpose. In 4 matches since signing his new deal, he is but to seek out the online and his anticipated targets knowledge can also be underperforming towards his standard customary.
In the meantime, Leicester may nonetheless be with out their 4 finest gamers for this one, with Wilfred Ndidi, Ricardo Pereira, Caglar Soyuncu and Jamie Vardy, who may go a health take a look at, all within the remedy room. It is definitely affecting their attacking prowess. In opposition to West Ham, they mustered simply an anticipated purpose determine of 0.57 and adopted that up with a 0.61 return within the defeat to Aston Villa.
On the costs, I am glad to aspect with a goalless draw, which might be the primary 0-Zero in an Arsenal dwelling league recreation for precisely 4 years!
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-0 (12/1 with Sky Bet)
Brighton vs West Brom, Monday – 5.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities Field Workplace
I might be anxious for West Brom’s defence by way of the center on this one.
Branislav Ivanovic coped comparatively nicely on his Premier League comeback towards the brutish Burnley assault however will face a very completely different take a look at up towards Neal Maupay, Aaron Connolly and Leandro Trossard. At 36, he might lack the tempo to cease a gifted Brighton front-line. Plus, West Brom have but to register an anticipated purpose determine above 1.00 in any of their first 5 video games. This appears to be like a simple dwelling win if Brighton flip up.
An angle to notice is the probably match-up between Grady Diangana and Tariq Lamptey because the West Brom man is probably the most fouled participant within the Premier League this season. Lamptey is not afraid of a problem, proven by his 11 fouls conceded this season which is the fourth most within the league. The 4/1 on him to be booked appears to be like juicy.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 3-1 (12/1 with Sky Bet)
ALSO LOOK OUT FOR: Tariq Lamptey to get booked at 4/1 with Sky Bet
Burnley vs Tottenham, Monday – 8pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
Burnley have began the season slowly, however their efficiency metrics are nonetheless much like final season the place they have been a stable mid-table group. Defensively, there was encouragement for Sean Dyche’s males – solely three groups have confronted decrease anticipated targets within the Premier League, whereas they’re high for duels gained and aerial duels gained.
The issue for them this Monday would be the present type of Harry Kane, who carried out like the perfect striker in world soccer towards West Ham. Kane has seven targets in eight Premier League appearances towards Burnley – it is laborious to see Dyche’s males stopping him.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2 (13/2 with Sky Bet)
Pitch to Put up Preview podcast: Mata unique, Everton newest, Coady’s rise at Wolves
Juan Mata is the particular visitor on this week’s present, and he tells Peter Smith about Man Utd’s return to kind, appears to be like forward to their conflict with Chelsea, and shares his views on the work being accomplished off the pitch by Marcus Rashford.
Plus, we have now extra fallout from the Merseyside derby with Alan Myers explains Everton’s perspective, Johnny Phillips discusses cult hero Conor Coady’s significance to Wolves and Sky Sports activities Knowledge Editor Adam Smith delves into the numbers behind the Premier League’s purpose rush, and makes a daring Pitch!